http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/google_web_in_five_years.php
Google’s Eric Schmidt on What the Web Will Look Like in 5 Years
1. Five years from now the internet will be dominated by Chinese-language content.
這還真令人絕望。
2. Today’s teenagers are the model of how the web will work in five years – they jump from app to app to app seamlessly.
Five years is a factor of ten in Moore’s Law, meaning that computers will be capable of far more by that time than they are today.
五年前的主流PC(Pentium4前後)現在都快小到拿在手上了(Atom)。
至於拿著這些東西習慣的年輕人porting自己的環境當然是快到嚇人….
3. Within five years there will be broadband well above 100MB in performance – and distribution distinctions between TV, radio and the web will go away.
五年內網路頻寬會到100MB….嘿,這代表的是Gigabit到處是(而且大家都mobile了所以還得比FTTH還先進),這聽起來很可怕。
4. “We’re starting to make signifigant money off of Youtube”, content will move towards more video.
他們還是深信Youtube可以大賺錢。即使它燒了真的很多錢。它真的有辦法獨立轉虧為盈嗎?
5. “Real time information is just as valuable as all the other information, we want it included in our search results.”
There are many companies beyond Twitter and Facebook doing real time.
“We can index real-time info now – but how do we rank it?”
It’s because of this fundamental shift towards user-generated information that people will listen more to other people than to traditional sources. Learning how to rank that “is the great challenge of the age.” Schmidt believes Google can solve that problem.
搜尋完全即時的資訊的重要性會等同搜尋長久以來累積的資訊,這點似乎沒什麼爭議但是怎麼作?
對即時資訊的搜尋不是最重要的問題,但是問題是不是在ranking就好像有點值得思考。
當然ranking代表的是一封即時資訊的可信度,高速的ranking可以讓使用者快速地過濾出「有價值的資訊」、但是這其實也有可能代表「加速積非成是的速度」就是了….
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最近的例子:とほほさん訃報騒動
http://www.otchy.net/20091028/tohoho/
とほほさん騒動まとめ(結論はとほほ(杜甫々)さん≠平志朗氏)
http://twitter.com/cpro29/status/5215842728
ソースはこれだけ なんだけど、ここでなくなったとほほ(平志朗)さんのページは http://t-t-japan.com/tohoho/ こちら。サイトの作りはまるきり素人で、とほほ(杜甫々)さんと同一人物とはまったく思えない
cpro29
cpro
http://www.tohoho-web.com/www.htm
とほほのWWW入門
「広島にお住まいのとほほさん(平志朗さん)の訃報がありました。たまたま私と同じハンドルで、同じ広島に在住で、Perl 使いということから、混乱もあった模様ですが、ご心配をおかけした皆様にお詫びすると共に、平志朗さんのご冥福をお祈り申し上げます。」(10月28日 杜甫々)